International Resources Holding (IRH), a subsidiary of the Emirati conglomerate International Holding Company (IHC), just sealed a deal to acquire almost 100% of Tremont Master Holdings. Valued at C$503 million–around US$367 million–the deal will give IRH indirect control of 56% of Alphamin Resources. The latter owns the Bisie tin mine, the largest tin mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC).

According to Bloomberg, an IRH delegation visited the DRC last November to conduct a due diligence mission. Although the offer is lower than Alphamin's current capitalization on the Toronto Stock Exchange, Denham Capital, Tremont's sole shareholder, stands to gain. The American fund previously held 57% of Alphamin.

Located in North Kivu, the Bisie project has developed in a difficult security environment. Alphamin has held an 80.75% stake since 2012, when the tin market was still uncertain. The remainder of the capital is divided between the South African state-owned company IDC (14.25%) and the Congolese state (5%). Between 2019 and the end of 2024, the mine generated cumulative sales of $2.3 billion for a gross margin of $689.5 million. The company paid $115 million in dividends in 2022-2023, and expects a payment of $70 million in October 2025 in respect of fiscal 2024.

The transaction is still subject to prior authorization by the Congolese authorities. Under article 178 bis of the revised Mining Code, any indirect transfer of mining rights must be approved by the State, on pain of nullity. A transfer fee, previously set at 1% of the transaction value, is also payable.

For IRH, this acquisition is part of a broader strategy to build up a portfolio of critical mining assets. According to Africa Intelligence, the group is also in discussions with Gécamines to obtain new permits in the DRC, although this information has not yet been confirmed. Alphamin is also studying other expansion projects in the country.

This operation illustrates the Emirates' growing interest in transitional minerals. Saudi Arabia has stepped up diplomatic exchanges with Kinshasa around a framework for sustainable supply chains. Dubai remains one of the major outlets for Congolese artisanal gold, as the Governor of South Kivu recently reminded us. By 2023, collaboration between the Emirati group Primera Gold and the Congolese government had led to a surge of over 12,000% in gold channeled through the Primera Gold DRC joint venture.

This article was initially published in French by Georges Auréole Bamba

Edited in English by Ola Schad Akinocho

Ivanhoe Mines withdrew its copper production forecasts for the Kamoa-Kakula complex in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Previously, the firm expected the Congolese complex to deliver between 520,000 and 580,000 tonnes of copper this year, in 2025. Ivanhoe announced the withdrawal on May 26, attributing its decision “to persistent seismic activity in the Kakula mine.”

Initially, Ivanhoe Mines did not revise its production forecasts after the first reports of seismic activity. However, its partner, China's Zijin Mining, stated on May 23 that it expected a “negative impact” on the complex’s production targets for the year. In a corrective statement following Zijin’s announcement, Ivanhoe initially sought to downplay the incident. Now, the company has confirmed that a “revision” of the forecast will soon be made public.

“Seismic activity at the Kakula underground mine has continued intermittently over the past few days [...] Early indications are that seismic activity underground at Kakula could continue for weeks, impeding access to the mine and prolonging the temporary suspension of operations at Kakula,” Ivanhoe explained. 

The market reacted sharply to this new information, with Ivanhoe’s share price dropping by 16%. The stock was trading at C$10.76 at 12:37 p.m. local time on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

Kamoa-Kakula is the largest copper mine in the DRC, with the Congolese government holding a 20% stake, and Zijin Mining and Ivanhoe Mines each owning 39.6%. 

Emiliano Tossou (Ecofin Agency)

Indonesia could snatch the Democratic Republic of Congo’s (DRC) spot as the world’s leading cobalt producer in the 2040s. The International Energy Agency (IEA) made the forecast in its Global Critical Minerals Outlook 2025 report published on May 21.

According to the Cobalt Institute, the DRC accounted for 76% of global primary cobalt supply in 2024, but the IEA forecasts a 45% decline in Congolese cobalt production during the 2030s “due to declining ore quality”.

In contrast, Indonesia—the world’s leading nickel producer, with cobalt as a by-product—is projected to increase its cobalt output by nearly 80% by 2040, surpassing the DRC. This outlook aligns with the Cobalt Institute’s Cobalt Market Report 2024, which predicts the DRC’s share of global cobalt supply will fall from 76% in 2024 to 65% by 2030, while Indonesia’s share rises from 12% to 22%.

While the projected plunge could reduce the DRC’s influence over the cobalt supply chain, its impact on mining revenues is uncertain. In 2022, cobalt accounted for about 21% of the DRC’s exports, according to the Central Bank of Congo. However, ongoing economic diversification and waning global demand for cobalt could lessen the metal’s importance to the Congolese economy even before it loses its production leadership.

The electric vehicle market—the primary driver of cobalt demand—is showing signs of slowdown. Additionally, energy storage projects increasingly favor lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP) batteries over traditional cobalt- or nickel-based batteries. Martin Jackson, a raw materials consultant at CRU, notes a “monumental drop in the intensity of nickel and cobalt use in battery demand.”

Kinshasa’s response to these shifts remains to be seen. The government is currently focusing on strengthening the country’s position in downstream segments of the value chain, such as refining and battery materials production, as potential buffers against the anticipated shocks.

This article was initially published in French by Aurel Sèdjro Houenou (Ecofin Agency)

Edited in English by Ola Schad Akinocho

China’s CMOC and Switzerland’s Glencore hold divergent views on the next steps following the suspension of cobalt exports from the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), which accounted for 76% of the world’s primary supply in 2024. According to Reuters, CMOC is pushing for a swift lifting of the embargo, while traders affiliated with Glencore argue that the market must regain stability before Congolese volumes return.

The matter was discussed last week during the Cobalt Congress in Singapore, in a meeting attended by the Congolese Minister of Mines, Kizito Pakabomba. At the meeting, Kenny Ives, vice-president of CMOC, advocated lifting the ban to replenish dwindling cobalt stocks for Chinese customers. He warned that prolonged shortages could prompt some carmakers to switch to cobalt-free lithium-ion batteries.

Conversely, Glencore traders contend that producers like the DRC must exercise better supply control, as oversupply was the primary reason behind Kinshasa’s decision to impose the embargo.

The contrasting positions underscore the strategic tensions between the world’s two largest cobalt producers, CMOC and Glencore. However, they both kept producing despite the DRC ban. Regarding the latter, it should expire on June 22, 2025, but Congolese authorities have not decided if it will be extended. 

President Félix Tshisekedi has suggested this possibility, and his government is also considering introducing export quotas—an option Glencore traders say they are prepared to accept.

Meanwhile, the market has responded favorably to the embargo, with cobalt prices rising over 50% since February. On the London Metal Exchange (LME), cobalt currently trades above $33,000 per tonne, up from $21,000 at the end of February.

This article was initially published in French by Aurel Sèdjro Houenou (Ecofin Agency)

Edited in English by Ola Schad Akinocho